Our Research

We have written research papers on topics including asset allocation, risk factor investing, macro economics, hedge fund replication and tax efficiency. A small sample of our white papers are included below. Please contact us if you would like to receive our other research.

1. Winning the Losers Game By Avoiding Mistakes (Sept 2016)

The right strategy for winning any game requires first understanding the competitive dynamics of the game. One model is that of a “Winner’s Game” versus a “Loser’s Game”. The competitiveness of global capital markets make them a Loser's Game where success is achieved by those who make the fewest mistakes.

2. Margin of Safety in Asset Allocation (Sept 2014)

Experienced investors understand that managing risk is the most important driver of long-term success. Yet traditional asset allocation models are blind to this fact, as they tend to bet on a single asset class, namely equities, for their success.

3. More Holdings Does Not Equal More Diversification (July 2016)

Diversification is not the same as more holdings, and index funds are not the lowest cost option. Fundamental diversification is about holding a few high quality assets that additionally protect against the major environments of wealth destruction.

4. Hurdle Rate for Active Management (Aug 2013)

How good must an active manager be in order to outperform a buy and hold strategy over time?

5. Low Volatility Is A Bond Bet (May 2016)

Smart beta and especially low volatility investing, has become the latest fad in the investment management business. We show low volatility strategies to simply be a bet on falling interest rates.

6. Commodity Producer Equities For Inflation Protection (June 2015)

Equities of commodity producer businesses provide a uniquely diversifying exposure to traditional portfolios of equities and fixed income because they offer protection against rising inflation.

7. The Other Free Lunch In Investing (Dec 2016)

It is commonly said that the only free lunch in investing is diversification. We are the first to agree that a well thought out and fundamentally informed strategy for diversification is critical. But diversification has its limits, especially when confused with volatility reduction, and when taken too far tends only to increase complexity and decrease return.

8. Optimal Portfolios Informed by Wide Bands (Nov 2017)

Many advisors tell investors that frequent rebalancing is an essential part of portfolio management. However, we show through logic, scenario analysis and historical backtests that the return benefits of rebalancing are overstated as well as the frequency at which it should be implemented.

9. Are Factors Better Than Asset Classes? (Feb 2018)

Factor investing promises outperformance at low cost. But to add value in a portfolio, it must deliver positive risk-adjusted returns and with low correlation to existing holdings. Our research asks a basic question, are factors better than asset classes? That is, should they deliver better risk-adjusted returns and importantly, be uniquely diversifying within a portfolio.